8 replies to this topic

[kittykoo5]

This year has just about come to an end so its peculation time. Next year seems like it'll be pretty unpredictable with three new groups possibly debuting together and with a number of graduations coming too. I want to see what other people think is going to happen.

 

Last year

Spoiler

✓ Happened

? Kinda happened but also kinda didn't 

X Didn't happen

 

When I went into 2017 I followed most H!P groups but now I only follow 2/5 so I hope the new group will be a good one.

 

Predictions

 - KF is going to add 4+ members or will get the CG treatment X

 - KF will get 1 single and (maybe) 1 digital single X

 - Chisaki will be pushed more in MM X

 - 3 or less graduations from MM ✓ I wasn't expecting any mass-exodus coming from this group

 - MM get 3 singles X

 - MM continues to sell 100k+ ✓ They've kind of stagnated in sales and in activities this year

 - TF will get their first tour (Hall tour if this single sees a large increase in sales) ✓ I'm surprised we didn't see them get a hall tour maybe next year

 - JJ keeps doing too many tours and H!P continues to neglect them (I liked FF but if adding 2 members with huge potential and a world tour doesn't make H!P make plan to promote them more then I don't know what will) ? I honestly wasn't even paying attention anymore

 - Rina will graduate from ANGERME X

 

Hopes

- No lineup changes for TF ✓ 

- TF continues to get great MVs (I'll even hope so far as they get even better MVs) ✓ 

- TF gets a hall tour ? They got two tours and that short hall tour with KF so I kind met expectations

- A TF single sells 45k-50k(+) ✓ Went well beyond what I was expecting

- TF gain more success and becomes one of the groups that H!P promotes to the mainstream audiences more (C-ute has moved on and MM can't clap with one hand so H!P will need more popular groups) ✓ I think a large part of their success this year was promoting to non-H!P fans

- TF gets a debut album (with a high production MV looking at the one KF got) ?/✓ They got one of the best debut albums H!P has produced in a long time but no MVs 

- I'm still holding out for at least one of them to get a contract with a magazine X

- MM gets a YA or SSA concert (I don't even care if its for a graduation I just want to see them in a bigger venue than Budokan) X

- MM gets better promotion and doesn't disappear for half a year X

- Even though they just had one, I want to see MM go back to having yearly albums ✓ We got another this year so I hope this trend continues

- H!P milk's their 20th anniversary X

- ANGERME gets a real single next year ✓ I liked some of their new song more than I usually do. They actually had me casually following the group again

- H!P gets a new show ? They got new youtube shows, but I wanted to see something replace The Girls Live

- Someone TF gets a drama X

EDIT - year isn't up yet

 - Hope to see more outdoor venue concerts this year (like the one for Momoko's grad) X

 

Predictions:

 

Morning Musume

- I think they are going to add new members. (They don't really have anything else going on except the usual releases)

- This is more of a hope but I want to see them move away from EDM and bring back the choruses in their songs

- I also don't think that Haruna is going to be the only person to graduate next year

 

Angerme

- They seem to be changing their sound and image towards being more fashionable with more fun songs so I think they'll keep following that trend

 

Juice=Juice

- I think they'll continue focusing of tours

 

Kobushi Factory

- Unless their sales see a dramatic increase, I still see them adding new members since that's H!P solution to a lot of their problems

 

Tsubaki Factory

- Another anime tie-in

- Maybe a drama or movie tie-in

- Since they didn't get one this year, I expect they get a hall tour next year

- I think they'll have a single that out-sells Teion Yakedo

- No member changes

- 2 singles (and they will both be full of bops)

 

Beyooooonds

- Won't make any expectations for this/these group/s since they haven't even finalized the lineup 

[megumibex]

I only really have predictions for MM and Beyooooonds:

 

Morning Musume:

- At least one more grad, maybe more, followed by 15th gen. 

- 15th gen has at least one girl from an audition.

 

Beyooooonds:

- 3rd group is 3 members. Most likely all auditionees, but my hope is two auditionees and one Kodama Sakiko. 

- Has an awesome debut single. A-side(s) are by Beyooooonds with a B-side by each unit. 

[miyooooons]

Since it's nearly the end of the year, I guess I need to get on this!

Here's how last year's predictions went (Correct in GREEN, Debatable in GOLD, Incorrect CROSSED OUT, Comments in BOLD.):

Spoiler

2018 Predictions/Hopes

 

H!P

• At least 2 REGULAR singles per group per year.
• No huge structural changes. (This one is subjective, but I'd say the moving Manakan & BEYOOOOONDS stuff kind of changed the game)
• Figure out what's going on with that friggin Theater Group
• 20th H!P Anniversary Concert featuring OG (Meimi please??)
• Concerts in USA
• Riho Return 
• Keep it up with the interesting group digital releases and shuffle groups
• No useless effing auditions with "no results" (I'm very happy with how the ONLY YOU audition turned out)

Morning Musume '18

• Harunan Graduation
• Maachan Graduation
• 3 singles
• 15th Gen in December
• Singles as good as the 62nd (sorry)
• More lines for Kaedy
• Kaedy cuts her hair short again.
• BIG VENUE concert (Yokohama Arena or SSA?)

ANGERME

• Rina Graduation
• Aiai leaves
• Start making good songs again
• RISE of Musubu as a key element in the group.
• Dawa does not graduate
• 3 singles (because it is deserved)
• 7th Gen in Q4

Juice=Juice

• No one graduates
• No one gets added
• Second Album in Q1
• 2 singles

Kobushi Factory

• Add members
• I start to like the group more than I used to (I'm still trying to though, I like Keseyashinai a lot tho!!)
• The group takes a dramatic turn in musical direction and overall style
• 3 singles
• NO MORE GIRLS LEAVE PLEASE
• A budokan

Tsubaki Factory

• Keep making bops
• 2 or 3 singles
• No one graduates
• Finally have a tour
• Album in Q2 or Q3

"Ichioka Factory"

• 6-9 members
• Members announced at either CDP or 1st Day of Winter 2018 con
• Contains Noguchi Kurumi and Yonemura Kirara
• Indies single in January/February
• Major debut in Q3, Release one major debut single
• Has a name that I like

Kenshuusei

• DEBUT: Inoue Hikaru, Horie Kizuki, Kanatsu Mizuki, Noguchi Kurumi, Ono Kotomi, Yonemura Kirara, Yamazaki Yuhane, Nishida Shiori and Okamura Minami.
• A really good Shindan Test.
• 2nd album
• We get a lead on what the plan is with Hokkaido KSS (Given Haruka's debut, I guess it's literally just like regular KSS but in Hokkaido lol)
• None of my fave girls end up leaving. (BIG SAD. RIP Nogumi.)
• ALL of the above debut.
• 29th Gen in May

 

If i think of any more before the year ends I'll put 'em in...but here they are.

I'm actually quite surprised with how many of them were correct or at least partially.

2019 Predictions/Hopes

 

H!P

• No general H!P auditions but rather it goes back to group-specific auditions
• Takechan becomes H!P subleader after Ayacho graduates and gives leadership to Mizuki
• Shuffle units that release content
• At least 2 releases per group (not counting BEYOOOOONDS' subsidiaries).
• Another Concert in USA!!
• Joint Kobushi & Tsubaki Factory BUDOKAN

Morning Musume '19

• 15th Generation by the end of the year, 4nin, at least one Audition girl.
• 3 singles (I'm begging, please).
• 2 graduations (I'm thinking Eripon & Miki, but not positive)
• More lines for Kaedy
• Bigger concert venue than Budokan
• 16th Album
• Another U.S. Concert (preferably near me kthx)

ANGERME

• Takechan ANGERME leader (not that I don't want Kananan, but Take has the KSS tenure)
• 2 singles
• An album in Q2
• 1 or more of 2nd Gen will graduate
• Haruka gets Green, Reira gets Purple

Juice=Juice

• No graduations besides Yuka & Yanamin
• 2 singles
• New member(s)
• Tomoko leader, Sayuki subleader (pretty sure this one will happen)

Country Girls

• 1 digital single
• Either adding a new member with concurrency, or disbanding altogether
• Something else is done with Ozeki Mai

Kobushi Factory

• New members
• Release music that I can thoroughly enjoy
• No graduations
• Album in Q4

Tsubaki Factory

• No lineup changes
• 3 singles
• Keep the bops coming

BEYOOOOONDS

• Become one of my fave H!P groups
• First indies single in Q1
• Megane no Otoko no Ko mp3 release
• Major debut by Q3
• 3rd group with Audition girls gets their own unit & unit name.
• BEYOOOOONDS acts as the main act for singles' A-Sides, B-sides are songs by the individual groups
• Lineup doesn't change the whole year
• Miyo becomes my favorite H!P member
• At least 2 singles

Kenshuusei

• DEBUT: Ono Kotomi, Yonemura Kirara, Ishiguri Kanami, Hashisako Rin, Yamada Ichigo, Nakayama Natsume, Tamenaga Shion & Saito Madoka
• Another release of some sort (single or album)
• 30th Gen of like 5-8 girls
• A great Shindan Test
• New Hokkaido KSS Gen

[honeyharunanfan]

Since 2019 is literally just around the corner, gonna post my predictions before it's too late lol

 

- Another graduation for Anju (other than Ayacho)

- Two graduations from MM

- Some period of stability for JJ after Nanami and Yuka's graduations, two singles (one of which is already announced)

- Kobushi continuing on without new members

- Tsubaki continuing on without losing members (hopefully)

- Beyooooonds having their major debut in the second half of the year (hopefully)

[Zucchipon]

My hopes/predictions

 

MM

-Akane starts getting more lines in songs (Kinda already starting to happen with I surrender and the other new song, but still more Akane pls)

-More Kaede too pls

-Actually I will take more lines for any of the girls that aren't Mizuki, Sakura or Masaki tbh. Need more of a variety of voices in their songs

-Eripon gets more modelling jobs (magazines, photobooks, anything pls ufp)

-At least one more graduation

-15th Gen, or at least they start auditions for them

-Another overseas concert when Miki returns from studying (Europe pls)

-Another single like Oh My Wish where the back members get to lead for a change

-Their singles in 2019 are not as meh as the ones in 2018

 

Angerme

-Another graduation besides Ayaka

-An album before Ayaka graduates pls pls pls

-They have another concert overseas

 

J=J

-No new members are Yuka and Yanamin's grads

-The single after Yanamin's grad has a more mature feel to it (Like Sexy Sexy)

-Maybe they start to focus on dance a bit more with Manaka's addition?

 

Kobushi

-More members are added at some point, like one or two

-They release more songs I enjoy (Kitto Watashi wa was a step in the right direction, more like this pls)

 

Tsubaki

-More Riko in songs pls

-Keep releasing the best songs

 

Beyoooooooooonds

-They have a major debut during the second half of the year

-No more members are added, they are perfect as they are.

-Reina grows her hair back

 

Kenshuusei

-None of my new faves leave (Losing Marina, Rena, Ryo, Mizuki and Kurumi in one year was rough)

-Some more of the Hokkaido KKS debut (I feel like Minori, Mei and Kanami especially are ready to)

-Riai and Natsume debut somewhere (15th gen maybe?)

 

Nightmares that I hope never come true ever

-Eripon or Akane graduates

-Tsubaki or Beyooooooooonds lose a member

 

Dreams I know will never come true but I wish they would

-Miki uses her newfound english skills to start doing Miki's Surprise English lessons

-Eripon is centre for one song pls

-Riho reappears in some form

-Zukki and Ogata instagram accounts pls I miss their faces

[Kumi-chan]

My predictions:

 

MM: 

-One graduation at the end or the Aki tour + one announced for 2020 (haru).

-15 gen announcement at the end of the year or at the end of Haru tour.

 

A: 

-Another graduation beside Wada. (Hope it's not Kanana)

-An album before Ayacho's grad.

-A single with one song for Haruka and Reira.

 

JJ:

-Another single between Yanamin and Yuka's grad.

-A stability period after Yuka's grad.

 

KF:

-No new members (I hope) 

-More songs like the recent ones.

-Better promotions. 

 

TF:

-NO NEW MEMBERS (I will be mad if they add members to TF)

-Keep releasing the best songs.

-More photoshoots

-Maybe a new special project (movie/anime/...)

 

BY:

-Debut in the second part of the year.

-A single with b-sides for each unit.

[Ambenya]

I don't really do this but I figured I might as well!

 

Morning Musume. '19

A graduation (not really sure who)

New members (Probably 4 members)

More than two singles 

Another concert overseas

More modeling stuff for Eripon

A single where the background girls get a majority of lines

 

Angerme

Another graduation besides Wada's

A new album

 

Juice=Juice

New members (Not that I want more members just I can see them adding more)

 

Country Girls

Two digital singles

Something major happens (Don't really know what)

 

Kobushi Factory

Two new members

A new album

Sales increase

 

Tsubaki Factory

Continue to see increased sales

No changes in lineup

 

Beyooooods

No changes in lineup 

Indies debut in first half of the year

Major debut in second half of the year

 

Kenshuusei

More debuts (Please debut Kirara!)

2 more Kenshuusei gens

[mizukingdom1]

I'm just gonna keep this short and sweet.

Beyonds have a great debut.

Country girls continue as a unit (still release music).

Morning musume audition for new members to be added in 2020.

No other graduations on 2019 apart from the ones already announced.

[GetRapper]

My predictions:

 

H!P

 

-W will finally reunite!!!

-There will be auditions for various groups, but surprisingly there will be very few promotions

-Country Girls will finally disband (Risa and Mai will graduate from H!P)

 

MM

 

-Ayumin graduation

-3 singles

-Chisaki will center a few songs

-15th gen added (2 members)

 

ANGERME

 

-Rinapuu graduation

-No new members added

-They will have an album along with 2 singles

 

Juice=Juice

 

-No new members added after Yuka and Yanamin grads

-They will travel to more countries for performance (Mexico, France, U.S., Chile, Brazil, Hong Kong, South Korea, Thailand)

-Group will have songs and stages that showcase Manakan's dancing

 

Kobushi Factory

 

-No member changes

-More tours with Tsubaki Factory to increase exposure

-Will have a single that is fully acapella

 

Tsubaki Factory

 

-Will have a single that outsells a Momusu single

-More Anime tie-ins and TV appearances

-Ami and Mizuho will become "IT" girls because of said TV appearances

 

BEYOOOOONDS

 

-First single (Duh)

-Subunits will be more popular than entire group as a whole

-Third group will add a new member and have a name that's even more silly than the previous two

 

KSS

 

-Yuliya will debut in MM

-They will add 6 to 8 girls

-Another Hokkaido KSS will debut in another group (Tsubaki?)